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Solution — 2018 Question 11 Sampling| Hypothesis Testing

(a)

Unbiased estimate of population mean=x‾=∑(x−30)n+30=15100+30=60320=30.15∎

Unbiased estimate of population variance=s2=1n−1(∑(x−30)2−(∑(x−30))2n)=1100−1(82−(15)2100)=2936=0.806∎ (to 3 s.f.)

(b)

Let X denote the random variable of the length (in cm) of a randomly chosen adult fish
Let μ denote the population mean length (in cm) of a randomly chosen adult fish

H0:μ=30
H1:μ>30

Under H0, at 0.025% level of significance, X‾∼N(30,2936100) Z=X‾−302936100∼N(0,1) approximately by the Central Limit Theorem since n=100 is large

From GC,
p-value = 0.047335>0.00025⇒Do not reject H0

Hence there is insufficient evidence at the 0.025% level of significance to conclude whether the mean length of the fish is greater than 30 cm ∎

(c)

Since n=100 is large, by the Central Limit Theorem, X‾ will be approximately normally distributed. Hence it is not necessary to assume that the lengths of the fish are normally distributed. ∎

(d)

Let X denote the random variable of the length (in cm) of a randomly chosen fish from the second lake
Let μ denote the population mean length (in cm) of a randomly chosen fish from the second lake

H0:μ=30
H1:μ>30

Under H0, at 0.1% level of significance, X‾∼N(30,0.9100) Z=X‾−300.9100∼N(0,1) approximately by the Central Limit Theorem since n=100 is large

Since the null hypothesis is rejected,

m−300.9100≥3.0902m≥30.3∎
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